Tuesday, 11 September 2012

Gold may glitter more........

Gold touches new highs daily ... if we go through its recent price movements, it is on a terrific up Trent. It  is just like stock market indices done in 2007.

 where will it stop? unpredictable....!!

world economic situation is turning to worse from bad....

Europe in trouble..... US in trouble... news coming from China is also not good...


So people depend Gold..... It will not end soon....


Friday, 7 September 2012

Who will win next US election ……..?


The current candidates for the 2012 US election are Mitt Romney, and incumbent Barack Obama, Now Obama is doing well and has fundraised more than twice as much as the Romney on the campaign trail. However, there are people who believe he hasn’t helped the economy. He said a growing middle class can help eliminate the gap between the rich and the poor. Some call him a socialist but most people don’t have a problem with him. America has spent more on defense/security in the past than on domestic issues like health and small business, which is what Obama is trying to do. Obama eliminated programs that weren’t working and cut taxes for small business owners. Some perhaps did not see the changes they expected with Obama in office. He is working on fixing problems, but there are so many of them, and he just hasn’t had enough time Will this help him to get a second term in White house?

It is not easy to predict. Resent surveys indicates majority of American White men think against Obama. This gives an up hand to Mitt Rmney.

If any financial tsunami sweeps in Europe (chance for which is very high) then it will not be a nice situation for the President. In 2008, collapse of Lehman Brothers and global financial turmoil there after made things easy to Obama

Another move that may change the situation is a possible US military intervention in Siriya or an Israeli bombing in Iranian nuclear facilities

Wednesday, 5 September 2012

Ten Trades of all Time

1. John Paulson’s bet against sub-prime mortgages made his hedge fund a cool $15 billion in 2007,that is billion with a ‘B’. he is only one of a very exclusive club that was able to make this call and win with it. That was a call of a lifetime that everyone was blind to even deep into the crises.


2. Jesse Livermore’s call on the Crash of 1929, Jesse Livermore did not need any computer models, technical indicators, or derivatives to make $100 million dollars ($1.2 billion in today’s dollars) for his own personal account during a time when everyone was bullish and then almost everyone lost their shirts. It was an amazing day when Jesse came home and his wife thought they were ruined and instead he had the second best trading day of anyone in history.


3. John Templeton invested heavily into Japan during the 1960s, when Japan was beginning its three-decade long economic miracle, Templeton was one of the country’s first outside investors. At one point, he boldly put more than 60 percent of his fund in Japanese assets.
From its founding in 1954, his Templeton Growth Fund grew at an astonishing rate of nearly 16 per cent a year until Templeton’s retirement in 1992, making it the top performing growth fund in the second half of the 20th century.
A $100,000 stake invested in 1954, with distributions reinvested, would have grown to $55 million in 1999.


4. George Soros’ breaking of the bank of England by shorting 10 billion worth of pound sterling and forcing the U.K. to withdraw from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM)(September 16, 1992). Soros made $1 billion in the process, which was an unimaginable sum back then.


5. Paul Tudor Jones’ shorting of Black Monday. Paul Tudor Jones correctly predicted on his documentary in 1986 based on chart patterns that the market was on the path to an crash at an epic level. He profited handsomely from the Black Monday crash of 1987, the largest single-day U.S. stock market decline (by percentage) ever. Jones reportedly tripled his money, making as much as $100 million on that trade as the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 22 percent. Another amazing trade to walk away from  with a fortune when so many others were ruined in the aftermath. He played it to perfection.


6. Andrew Hall’s back in 2003, when oil was trading at $30 barrel and the economy had just recovered from the dot-com crash, Andrew Hall wagered that prices would top $100 per barrel within five years. When oil prices blew past $100 five years later in 2008, Hall’s employer Citigroup made a bundle and Hall took home $100 million as a part of his compensation for this and other successful trades. He predicted the amount of the trade and the time frame and structured futures contracts to profit greatly from the move to $100 or expire worthless. He did what is suppose to be impossible, predict a price and execute a trade perfectly far in advance for maximum profit.


7. David Tepper’s bought severely depressed shares of big banks early in 2009, Bank of America and quadrupled in value and Citigroup tripled in value from their bottoms earlier in the year.  That was good enough to earn Tepper’s hedge fund $7 billion. His personal cut was $4 billion. His bet was that they would be bailed out and not nationalized. He was correct.


8. Jim Chanos’ prescient shorts correctly predicted, and profited enormously, from the demise of Enron. Other examples of his successful shorts include Baldwin-United, Tyco International (NYSE: TYC), Worldcom and recently homebuilders like KB Home (NYSE: KBH)


9. Jim Rogers’ spotted the secular bull market for commodities way back in the 1990s. In 1996, he created the Rogers International Commodity Index. Subsequently, he worked on ways to make that index invest-able. Since 1998, the index has returned 290 percent through the end of 2010. This compares to the 10 percent return of the S&P 500 Index during the same period.


10. Louis Bacon’s made a killing in 1990 by anticipating that Saddam Hussein would invade Kuwait. Bacon went long on oil, short on stocks, and helped his new hedge fund return 86 percent that year. In the following year, he also correctly bet that the U.S. would quickly defeat Iraq and the oil market would recover.

Wednesday, 22 August 2012

Bubble will Burst...!!!!!!!!!!!


People think that speculation is the menace only seen in stock market. Is it true?
Does it exist in other investment options like gold and real- estate? Sure .first of all we have to check what is speculation? Buying an asset at an unreasonable price with the view that it can be sold at a margin is speculation. When a large number of people buy a particular asset with a speculative view, first it appears like a boom, and then it leads to bubble, when that bubble burst, our money evaporates
What is the situation in real estate in India? It is sky rocketing all over the country, especially in cities. People still buy properties with the expectation that some one will come to buy from them, any way this speculation will not last for ever and some will end with some properties which they could not sell
Situation will not be different in the case of gold too. What is the rational in believing that the yellow metal leads the world economy?
Before in vesting any asset class should have enough awareness about its value and price

SIVAPRAKASH P. R 







Bulls make money bears make money but the pigs get killed

Retail investor lose money in stock market

If we go through various investment options all over the world, we can see stock market and real-estate have given maximum return during the last 100 years 

But still in our country retail investor lose money in stock market
Only Less than 5% Indians have minimum awareness about stock market
In this 5% only less than 1 % makes profit from stocks…… Why?

The reasons are many….
Lack of awareness, lack of patients, greed, panic, 

So various institutions in this sector should do some thing for investor educations 

Rubber heading for long term correction

Now it is going to be rubber that put farmers in trouble..........!
we believe it is going to be a long term correction...................!

the immediate support said to be 161 (Spot) next 148 , then 133
if it goes below 133 then it can even touch 92........................!

World economy  heading for a long term crisis .....
which may jeopardize growth and demand..

Auto mobile industry in India is in a cyclical slow down....
production of rubber in world wide improved  so supply side may  go off