Wednesday, 22 August 2012

Bubble will Burst...!!!!!!!!!!!


People think that speculation is the menace only seen in stock market. Is it true?
Does it exist in other investment options like gold and real- estate? Sure .first of all we have to check what is speculation? Buying an asset at an unreasonable price with the view that it can be sold at a margin is speculation. When a large number of people buy a particular asset with a speculative view, first it appears like a boom, and then it leads to bubble, when that bubble burst, our money evaporates
What is the situation in real estate in India? It is sky rocketing all over the country, especially in cities. People still buy properties with the expectation that some one will come to buy from them, any way this speculation will not last for ever and some will end with some properties which they could not sell
Situation will not be different in the case of gold too. What is the rational in believing that the yellow metal leads the world economy?
Before in vesting any asset class should have enough awareness about its value and price

SIVAPRAKASH P. R 







Bulls make money bears make money but the pigs get killed

Retail investor lose money in stock market

If we go through various investment options all over the world, we can see stock market and real-estate have given maximum return during the last 100 years 

But still in our country retail investor lose money in stock market
Only Less than 5% Indians have minimum awareness about stock market
In this 5% only less than 1 % makes profit from stocks…… Why?

The reasons are many….
Lack of awareness, lack of patients, greed, panic, 

So various institutions in this sector should do some thing for investor educations 

Rubber heading for long term correction

Now it is going to be rubber that put farmers in trouble..........!
we believe it is going to be a long term correction...................!

the immediate support said to be 161 (Spot) next 148 , then 133
if it goes below 133 then it can even touch 92........................!

World economy  heading for a long term crisis .....
which may jeopardize growth and demand..

Auto mobile industry in India is in a cyclical slow down....
production of rubber in world wide improved  so supply side may  go off

Tuesday, 21 August 2012

National Pension Scheme


In India now social security is only guaranteed for govt. employees in old age because only they are getting pension. Social security should be guaranteed for all. For this purpose central govt. brought New Pension Scheme ( National Pension Scheme) According to which any Indian can open a Permanent Retirement Account Number. (PRAN) By which he can invest for his retirement life.
In order to monitor this entire scheme and its operation to protect the interests of investor, a body is constituted named PFRDA (Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority) under which another agency for record keeping is created named CRA (Central Recordkeeping Agency) which makes the pension fund operations transparent.

NPS differs from the existing pension scheme in the sense that existing pension fund of Government of India offers assured benefits while NPS has defined contribution structure where an individual can decide where his contributed money will be invested. . Another important difference being premature withdrawal is subject to few life changing situations. Let's explore other aspects of this scheme.



Product Structure



The scheme is available in two forms:
1. Tier-I account -  Premature withdrawal not allowed
2. Tier-II account - Premature withdrawal allowed




Features



Until now the pension schemes were available to Government employees and employees of big firms who have provident fund facility. With NPS common man gets an entry to the system. The other important features of the schemes are:



1. Low Cost - Annual Fees of .00009% (90 paisa for Rs 10,000) for fund management
2. You can choose from six different funds for investment
3. Withdrawing from one fund and investing in another will not have any tax implication
4. No upper limit on Investment
5. Minimum limit of investment is 6,000 per year
6. Tax benefit over and above the current limit of 1L under sec 80C
7. All citizens between 18 and 55 years can invest in NPS




Taxation



Under the newly introduced Section 80CCD (2), up to 10% of an employee's basic salary put in the New Pension Scheme is tax deductible. If you fall in the 30% tax bracket, the NPS investment under Section 80CCD (2) will reduce your tax liability by almost 15000. Now onwards, NPS will be more beneficial from the tax angle. From the next financial year, contributions by employers to the NPS accounts of their employees can be deducted as a business expense which was not allowed till now. As such contributions will not be part of the Rs. 1 lakh tax deduction limit under Section 80C, your employer's contribution on your behalf will be a tax free benefit for you.



Fund withdrawal



Premature exits before 60 years' You will have to invest 80% of accumulated wealth to purchase a life annuity from registered life insurer
' The remaining 20% is liable for withdrawal as lump sum




Exits after 60 years' You will have to invest at least 40% of pension wealth to purchase an annuity



No exits till 70 years' Beneficiary account will be closed and the accumulated amount will be transferred in lump sum



In case of death of the scheme holder nominee will receive the whole amount as lump sum.



NPS scheme on its own vs. the one offered by the employer



If the employer is offering NPS he will be making an equal contribution in the scheme from his side. The structure will be of Tier-1 type where premature withdrawal will not be allowed. You will be liable for additional tax benefit on the employer's contribution.



Additional to above structure individual can also choose a voluntary tier-II account having premature withdrawal facility. Government and employers will make no contribution into this account. The accumulated wealth in this account can be withdrawn anytime without stating any reason.



Benefits to investors



1. Additional tax saving ' Both employers and employees will get tax exemption on their contribution
2. Low cost of fund management ' The fund management cost is very low, which will enhance the returns
3. Higher return potential as compared to old plans ' As it's a defined contribution plan, investors can choose from the 6 funds available for investment for better returns.  Rebalancing of accumulated amount is free of cost so you can always invest in the best fund.




The Drawbacks



1. Tier 1 option doesn't give much flexibility ' It's a rigid structure. A little flexibility with respect to premature withdrawal would have made it more lucrative.
2. Annuity rates post maturity is not fixed ' There is no floor rate decided so you cannot be sure of the returns until maturity.
3. Fund management costs might increase in future ' Depending on the pension liability and costs involved this rate might shift northward.
4. Only six fund managers makes it a risky proposition ' If we take into account the working population of India this number seems to be pretty risky. As the number of subscribers increase hopefully government will increase this number.




How does employee and employer benefit?



The scheme will benefit both employees and employers a like when they participate. Employees get tax deduction on their contribution and from next financial year employers will be in a position to show their contribution as business expense generating additional tax benefits for the firm.

Three options are available to any investor . They are Option G: money will be invested in central and state govt. securities . Which is guaranteed by government. So very safe. Option C: it is to invest in Corporate Bonds. Which is also safe to certain extent. Option E: to invest in Stock Market index funds . Which is highly risky. But investor has the freedom to select the option